In Peru there is an excess, not a shortage, of credit for low-income people.Photograph: Rodrigo Abd/AP.. |
First it was microcredit.
Then microfinance. Now financial inclusion. Despite new names, 30 years later
there are $100bn
(£62bn) in current loans outstanding and the idea of providing financial services
to the poor – particularly loans – attracts a cult-like following. Financial
inclusion dominates
the social investment sector, arguably crowding out other more
traditional interventions such as healthcare and education.
I believe that there’s a
lack of credible academic evidence proving any poverty-alleviating effects of
financial inclusion. “On current evidence, the best estimate of the average
impact of microcredit on the poverty of clients is
zero”, says mathematician and development economist David Roodman.
Also, in a systematic
literature review by the UK’s Department for International Development (DfID), University
of East Anglia-based Maren Duvendack concluded the enthusiasm for microfinance
had been built upon “foundations of sand”. The microfinance sectors of entire
countries have collapsed, a spate of borrower
suicides in Andhra Pradesh, India, raised
uncomfortable ethical questions, and yet the hype continues. Why?
To clear up some
terminology: financial inclusion encompasses a broad range of services, yet in
my experience, the focus remains on offering loans (and to a lesser extent
remittances), which is where the profit lies. The principal
source of revenue for the sector is interest on loans, which is rarely
publicised on websites. Rates exceeding
100% per year, even over 200%, are disturbingly
common, particularly in Zambia and Mexico. The sector refuses to define what
constitutes extortionate rates, or encourage basic requirements for sensible
loan use.
Finally, the sector glosses
over the fact that much credit is spent on consumption. Over-indebtedness is a
chronic problem in some countries, particularly Mexico and Peru
, where the problem is not
a shortage of credit, but an excess.
Regulation is required, but
to date the sector’s main effort, the Smart Campaign offers a watered-down,
ineffective set of voluntary principles. Their recent certification
of Banco Compartamos, one of the
most vilified institutions in the sector, which distributed a €154m
(£121m) dividend to its shareholders in 2013, on the back of charging triple-digit
interest rates to Mexicans, led even Muhammad Yunus, founder of the Grameen Bank, Bangladesh, to suggest
that “self-regulation doesn’t
really work”.
The challenge with
self-regulation can be explained by potential conflicts of interest. As the
Smart Campaign is owned and staffed by Accion, the
principal shareholder of Compartamos, how can it be expected to draft up
guidelines where it punishes itself?
But it needn’t be like
this. There are individuals in low-income communities who could benefit from
fairly priced, well-designed loans. Savings, micro-insurance and remittances
offer valuable services for a far broader range of clients too, but offer lower
margins. We need to move away from recycling capital into yet more
basket-weaving and fruit-selling enterprises that will only perpetuate the
informal economies of developing countries.
Instead, capital should be
increasingly directed towards small and medium enterprises (SMEs) capable of
generating employment, paying taxes, and moving into the formal realm, an aim
backed by the Inter-American Development Bank in their 2010
analysis of productivity in the Americas.
Countries such as Ecuador
have demonstrated that a
vibrant microfinance sector serving the full range of citizens with
broad services and fair prices is both possible and modestly profitable. But
such successes arise from proactive formal regulation at the national level,
rather than “letting the market work” under the veneer of voluntarily
self-regulation. This includes a reasonable interest-rate cap (30.5%); enforced client
protection; obligatory use of a centralised credit bureau; complete pricing
transparency; formal complaints mechanisms for clients; beefed-up risk
management; and deposit protection.
Genuinely independent
regulators need to be empowered along with the ongoing expansion of financial
inclusion. Aid agencies such as DfID instead of fuelling financial inclusion at
this stage, could fund a genuinely independent self-regulator capable of using
carrots as well as sticks and support and train local regulators. They should
ensure investment funds channelling funds towards financial inclusion are
subject to the same oversight as those investing in other sectors and could
implement centralised credit bureaus and related measures to prevent
over-indebtedness. An excellent example was DfID’s support of Plus in Bosnia, which helps
over-indebted microfinance clients to re-structure their loans.
Ultimately though, the
current system is not protecting the people it’s designed to empower.
Microfinance has clearly deviated
from its original goal, it’s given rise to “its own breed of loan sharks,” as Yunus says. The
question is will the new financial inclusion mantra be any different?
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario